Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Cordeiro A.
52'
52'
Davi
58'
58'
Lima W.
AI Match Summary
Assisense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Assisense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assisense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Assisense haven't matched Tupa's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Assisense taking it.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Assisense Clean Sheet 68%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Assisense | Tupa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:2
May 2, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
2:3
Nov 8, 2020 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Assisense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Assisense Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Medola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tupa Compare
Top Goalscorer Davi
1 Goals Assists Leader Lima W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Assisense 86 / 100
Tupa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Assisense Tupa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Assisense scored in 69% of their last 35 games.
Tupa let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
Solid form: Assisense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Assisense VS Tupa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Assisense
(Home) 04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
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27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
22 May
Assisense
1 : 1 America SP
08 May
Assisense
2 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
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Tupa
(Away) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
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05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Tupa
15 May
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3 Tupa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
