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Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Gremio Maringa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paranaense 3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2025 game between Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense and Gremio Maringa finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
20%
Draws
46%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense come out ahead of Gremio Maringa on wins alone.
  • Gremio Maringa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Clean Sheet 15%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.85 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Paranaense 3
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Gremio Maringa
3:3
Sep 6, 2025 Paranaense 3
Gremio Maringa vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 15 / 100
Gremio Maringa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Gremio Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Maringa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Recent resilience: Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense VS Gremio Maringa
1 Goals Scored 1.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense

(Home)
30 Aug
Parana S.T.C.
1 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
24 Aug
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
0 : 1
CA Cambe
15 Aug
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 0
City London
09 Aug
CA Cambe
0 : 1
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
02 Aug
City London
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 4

Gremio Maringa

(Away)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prudentopolis 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
2 Rolandia EC 8 4 3 1 12:9 15
3 Araucaria 8 4 2 2 20:11 14
4 Iraty 8 2 1 5 10:19 7
5 Hope Internacional 8 0 2 6 5:16 2
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Cambe 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 City London 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
4 Gremio Maringa 6 2 3 1 11:7 -4
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao PR 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
2 Vere FC 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
3 Oeste Brasil 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Campo Mourao 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams