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Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Rolandia EC

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Gelton Francisco
74' Event
Anselmo
84' Event
de Lima Rodrigues D.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense and Rolandia EC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rolandia EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
44%
Draws
20%
Rolandia EC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rolandia EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Clean Sheet 13%
Rolandia EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Rolandia EC
Matches Played 14 20
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.71 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Paranaense 3
Rolandia EC vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Paranaense 3
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Rolandia EC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Anselmo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Rolandia EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelton Francisco
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lima Rodrigues D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 35 / 100
Rolandia EC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Rolandia EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rolandia EC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense VS Rolandia EC
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense

(Home)
05 Oct
CA Cambe
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
28 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 2
City London
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
14 Sept
City London
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 3

Rolandia EC

(Away)
26 Oct
Rolandia EC
2 : 2
Vere FC
19 Oct
Vere FC
1 : 0
Rolandia EC
03 Oct
Araucaria
3 : 0
Rolandia EC
28 Sept
Rolandia EC
3 : 2
Iraty
24 Sept
Hope Internacional
0 : 1
Rolandia EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batel851214:816
2Hope Internacional83327:412
3Iraty83327:812
4Araucaria82247:98
5Prudentopolis81345:116
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arapongas861124:519
2Rolandia EC851217:1116
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense83238:811
4Campo Mourao831418:1510
5CA Cambe80173:311
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vere FC640211:812
2Toledo64029:712
3Oeste Brasil630310:59
4Uniao PR61051:113
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams