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Asswehly vs Shabab Al Ghar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Traore F.
44' Event
Al Abasi A.
62' Event
Emara E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Asswehly and Shabab Al Ghar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asswehly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Asswehly
30%
Draws
9%
Shabab Al Ghar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asswehly come out ahead of Shabab Al Ghar on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Asswehly taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al Ghar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asswehly Shabab Al Ghar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Asswehly vs Shabab Al Ghar
2:1
Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Asswehly
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asswehly Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Abasi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Shabab Al Ghar Compare

Top Goalscorer Emara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asswehly 85 / 100
Shabab Al Ghar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asswehly Shabab Al Ghar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asswehly's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Asswehly stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Shabab Al Ghar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Asswehly VS Shabab Al Ghar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asswehly

(Home)
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
Page 1 of 7

Shabab Al Ghar

(Away)
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1
Shabab Al Ghar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)