Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Asteras Kaisarianis

0 - 1

Aris Petroupolis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Asteras Kaisarianis and Aris Petroupolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Asteras Kaisarianis

30%

Draws

34%

Aris Petroupolis

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asteras Kaisarianis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Asteras Kaisarianis a 36% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Aris Petroupolis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%

Asteras Kaisarianis Clean Sheet 20%

Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asteras Kaisarianis	Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	11	21
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Asteras Kaisarianis vs Aris Petroupolis

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Aris Petroupolis vs Asteras Kaisarianis

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Asteras Kaisarianis vs Aris Petroupolis

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Aris Petroupolis vs Asteras Kaisarianis

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Oct 27, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Asteras Kaisarianis vs Aris Petroupolis

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Kaisarianis 36 / 100

Aris Petroupolis 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asteras Kaisarianis Aris Petroupolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Kaisarianis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Aris Petroupolis let in goals in 36% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Asteras Kaisarianis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Kaisarianis VS Aris Petroupolis

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aris Petroupolis	27	19	6	2	44:14	63
2	Nea Artaki	27	16	8	3	32:12	56
3	AO Karystou	27	12	9	6	29:17	45
4	Diagoras FC	27	11	9	7	34:23	42
5	Asteras Kaisarianis	27	10	6	11	37:31	36
6	Afantou	27	9	6	12	32:38	33