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Asteras Karditsa vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Asteras Karditsa and Ermis Exochis finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Asteras Karditsa
20%
Draws
40%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ermis Exochis come out ahead of Asteras Karditsa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Asteras Karditsa Clean Sheet 10%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Karditsa Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Karditsa vs Ermis Exochis
2:5
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Asteras Karditsa
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Karditsa 34 / 100
Ermis Exochis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Karditsa Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Asteras Karditsa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Ermis Exochis has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Asteras Karditsa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Karditsa VS Ermis Exochis
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Karditsa

(Home)
08 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Akrites Sykeon
05 Apr
Kozani FC
2 : 0
Asteras Karditsa
01 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
0 : 0
Eordaikos
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Sarakinos Volos
6 : 1
Asteras Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Ethnikos Neou
5 : 2
Ermis Exochis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)