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Asteras Stavrou vs Diagoras Agias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Asteras Stavrou and Diagoras Agias finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diagoras Agias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Asteras Stavrou
30%
Draws
62%
Diagoras Agias
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diagoras Agias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Asteras Stavrou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diagoras Agias's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 27%
Diagoras Agias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Stavrou Diagoras Agias
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Asteras Stavrou vs Diagoras Agias
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Stavrou 10 / 100
Diagoras Agias 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Stavrou Diagoras Agias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diagoras Agias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asteras Stavrou scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Diagoras Agias has conceded goals in 64% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Asteras Stavrou remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Stavrou VS Diagoras Agias
1.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Stavrou

(Home)
04 Oct
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 1
Diagoras Agias
27 Sept
Kifissos
3 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 7

Diagoras Agias

(Away)
04 Oct
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 1
Diagoras Agias
26 Sept
Diagoras Agias
0 : 0
Nea Artaki
01 Apr
Ermis Kiveriou
1 : 0
Diagoras Agias
24 Mar
Diagoras Agias
4 : 1
Triglia Rafinas
18 Mar
Aiolikos FC
1 : 1
Diagoras Agias
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kifissos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Fokikos FC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Diagoras Agias 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Anagennisi Schimatariou 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Lamia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 AO Karystou 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tamynaikos Aliveriou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Katsantonis Agrafon 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
9 Nea Artaki 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
10 Asteras Stavrou 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
11 Thiva F.C. 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (Losers stage)