Sport Picks
Asteras Tripolis vs AEL Larissa
Greece
Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2025/2026 game between Asteras Tripolis and AEL Larissa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Tripolis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Asteras Tripolis come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asteras Tripolis | AEL Larissa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asteras Tripolis Compare
AEL Larissa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asteras Tripolis's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: AEL Larissa conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Asteras Tripolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Asteras Tripolis
(Home)AEL Larissa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atromitos | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 40:51 | 41 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36:49 | 36 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35:51 | 36 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 36 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 34:56 | 30 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25:73 | 29 |
