Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ketu K.
Assist: Gonzalez E.
26'
Tsakmakis D.
34' Event
Bartolo J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
32%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched Atromitos's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alho N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzovaras G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuber S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 41 / 100
Atromitos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Atromitos conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Atromitos
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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Atromitos

(Away)
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
30 Aug
Atromitos
1 : 2
PAOK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)