Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ketu K.
Assist: Gonzalez E.
26'
Tsakmakis D.
34' Event
Bartolo J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Asteras Tripolis
44%
Draws
20%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched Atromitos's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 17%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alho N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzovaras G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuber S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 36 / 100
Atromitos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Tripolis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Asteras Tripolis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Atromitos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Atromitos
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Atromitos

(Away)
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Kifisia
0 : 3
Atromitos
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
02 May
Asteras Tripolis
4 : 2
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Atromitos3612101449:4246
10Kifisia369141340:5141
11Asteras Tripolis368121636:4936
12Panetolikos36991835:5136
13AEL Larissa365151634:5630
14Panserraikos36782125:7329
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)