Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
De Marco V.
27'
Yablonskiy E.
28'
Alagbe O.

AI Match Summary

Panserraikos in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panserraikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
25%
Panserraikos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asteras Tripolis lately — more wins on the board than Panserraikos.
  • Asteras Tripolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Panserraikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Panserraikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 95 / 100
Panserraikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Panserraikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panserraikos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Asteras Tripolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Panserraikos
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
18 Aug
Levadiakos
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1
AEK Larnaca
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Panserraikos

(Away)
19 Aug
Panserraikos
2 : 1
Panthrakikos
08 Aug
Aris
2 : 2
Panserraikos
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 26 18 6 2 49:17 60
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 26 17 7 2 45:11 58
3 PAOK 26 17 6 3 52:17 57
4 Panathinaikos 26 14 7 5 44:26 49
5 Levadiakos 26 12 6 8 51:37 42
6 OFI Crete 26 10 2 14 34:45 32
7 Volos 26 9 4 13 26:38 31
8 Aris 26 6 12 8 20:27 30
9 Atromitos 26 7 8 11 26:30 29
10 Kifisia 26 6 9 11 32:42 27
11 Panetolikos 26 7 5 14 24:38 26
12 AEL Larissa 26 4 11 11 22:39 23
13 Panserraikos 26 4 5 17 16:55 17
14 Asteras Tripolis 26 3 8 15 22:41 17
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)