Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Omeonga S.
35'
Macheda F.
46'
Sub
Alagbe O. In: Kaltsas N.
Out: Alagbe O.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
12%
Panserraikos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asteras Tripolis lately — more wins on the board than Panserraikos.
  • Win probability leans Asteras Tripolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Panserraikos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Macheda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Panserraikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 95 / 100
Panserraikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Panserraikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panserraikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Asteras Tripolis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Panserraikos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Panserraikos
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1
AEK Larnaca
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
Page 1 of 6

Panserraikos

(Away)
08 Aug
Aris
2 : 2
Panserraikos
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
Panserraikos
1 : 2
Kifisia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)