Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Soplantai V.
81'
81'
D'Antoni R.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A game between Asti Calcio and Lavagnese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Asti Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Asti Calcio come out ahead of Lavagnese on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Asti Calcio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asti Calcio | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Lavagnese
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Asti Calcio
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Lavagnese
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Asti Calcio
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asti Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Soplantai V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lavagnese Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Antoni R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asti Calcio 95 / 100
Lavagnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asti Calcio Lavagnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lavagnese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Asti Calcio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Asti Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Asti Calcio VS Lavagnese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Asti Calcio
(Home) 10 May
Cairese
0 : 1 Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1 Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1 Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1 Saluzzo
29 Mar
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Celle Varazze
15 Mar
Asti Calcio
0 : 1 Varese FC
15 Feb
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 4
Lavagnese
(Away) 03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
22 Mar
Ligorna
2 : 1 Lavagnese
28 Feb
Sestri Levante
1 : 1 Lavagnese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
