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Asti Calcio vs PDHA

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Asti Calcio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
0%
PDHA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Asti Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Asti Calcio taking it.
  • Asti Calcio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Asti Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
PDHA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio PDHA
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs PDHA
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Asti Calcio
0:3
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Asti Calcio vs PDHA
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs PDHA
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Asti Calcio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PDHA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 85 / 100
PDHA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio PDHA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PDHA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: PDHA registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Asti Calcio scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 8

PDHA

(Away)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2