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Asti Calcio vs Stresa Vergante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Lorenzi A.
41' Event
Gomez V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Asti Calcio
39%
Draws
31%
Stresa Vergante
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Stresa Vergante haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Stresa Vergante
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Stresa Vergante
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Asti Calcio
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stresa Vergante Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 41 / 100
Stresa Vergante 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Stresa Vergante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio scored in 79% of their last 42 games.

Stresa Vergante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Asti Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
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Stresa Vergante

(Away)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)