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Astillero vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astillero play Guayaquil City in the Copa Ecuador. Astillero are favorites here. Recently, Astillero averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Guayaquil City averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Astillero won 1, Guayaquil City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Astillero and 1.00 for Guayaquil City. This points to a Astillero double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Astillero
22%
Draws
18%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Astillero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Guayaquil City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Astillero.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Astillero.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Ecuador increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Astillero Clean Sheet 68%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astillero Guayaquil City
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Astillero vs Guayaquil City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astillero Compare

Top Goalscorer Solis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Guayaquil City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astillero 68 / 100
Guayaquil City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astillero Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astillero scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Guayaquil City let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Astillero went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guayaquil City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astillero VS Guayaquil City
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Africando1
Independiente Juniors2
Leones del Norte-
TBD-
Huaquillas FC1
Rio Aguarico0
Aucas-
TBD-
Guaranda0
San Antonio1
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
La Union1
Cumbaya0
Emelec-
TBD-
U.D. Juvenil0
Daquilema2
Guayaquil City-
TBD-
Astillero2
22 de Julio1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Dunamis1
EL Nacional5
Orense-
TBD-
Domingo TSA1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Primero de Mayo0
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Manta-
TBD-
Nazareno0
Nueve de Octubre4
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Dep. Quito0
Gualaceo1
Macara-
TBD-
Quito2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
Insutec4
Club Deportivo Ibarra3
Libertad-
TBD-
Ind. Azogues0
LDU Portoviejo5
Delfin-
TBD-
Banos2
Anaconda1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Juventud Italiana2
Atletico FC1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito2
Independiente Juniors1
Leones del Norte1
Huaquillas FC0
Aucas3
San Antonio0
Dep. Cuenca0
La Union1
Emelec0
Daquilema1
Guayaquil City1
Astillero2
U. Catolica4
EL Nacional1
Orense1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle2
Dep. Santo Domingo0
Manta1
Nueve de Octubre0
Mushuc Runa0
Gualaceo1
Macara1
CD Cuenca Juniors0
Barcelona SC4
Insutec2
Libertad1
LDU Portoviejo2
Delfin2
Banos0
Tecnico U.0
Juventud Italiana2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito-
Leones del Norte-
Aucas-
La Union-
Daquilema-
Astillero-
U. Catolica-
Vinotinto-
Independiente del Valle-
Manta-
Gualaceo-
Macara-
Barcelona SC-
LDU Portoviejo-
Delfin-
Juventud Italiana-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-