Sport Picks
Aston Villa U21 vs Brighton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham 
Match Events
15'
15'
Wilson R.
24'
24'
Routh L.
Assist: Borland A.
27'
27'
Routh L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Aston Villa U21 and Brighton U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Aston Villa U21 haven't matched Brighton U21's recent run of results.
- Aston Villa U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Brighton U21
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U21 vs Brighton U21
4:0
Nov 3, 2023 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Routh L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Silsby T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aston Villa U21 47 / 100
Brighton U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aston Villa U21 Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Brighton U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Aston Villa U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aston Villa U21 VS Brighton U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa U21
(Home) 27 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
17 Oct
Burnley U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4 Brondby U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U21
(Away) 23 Oct
Fulham U21
2 : 4 Brighton U21
18 Oct
Brighton U21
3 : 3 Bournemouth U21
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
09 Oct
Brighton U21
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd U21
19 Sept
Liverpool U21
5 : 1 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Fulham U21
2 : 4 Brighton U21
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
19 Sept
Liverpool U21
5 : 1 Brighton U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 8 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 25 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League (Play Offs)
