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Aston Villa U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

0 - 4
FT
Exeter U23 Logo

Exeter U23

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wilson L.
60' Event
Dean W.
61' Event
Wilson L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Exeter U23 in this Premier League Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aston Villa U23
15%
Draws
49%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa U23 average 1.84 goals a game right now, well clear of Exeter U23's 1.69.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.84 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2020 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U23 vs Exeter U23
0:4
Oct 3, 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Aston Villa U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dean W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U23 30 / 100
Exeter U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U23 scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Exeter U23 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Exeter U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U23 VS Exeter U23
2 Goals Scored 1.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U23

(Home)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 8

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
2 Reading U23 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
3 Colchester U23 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Swansea U23 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
2 Fulham U23 6 3 0 3 13:11 9
3 Watford U23 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Plymouth U23 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Hull City U23 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Scunthorpe U23 6 0 2 4 7:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Doncaster U23 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Aston Villa U23 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
4 Portsmouth U23 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Southampton U23 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Nottingham U23 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Wigan U23 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Huddersfield U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Sunderland U23 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
3 Burnley U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Crystal Palace U23 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 18:7 12
2 Wolves U23 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Leeds U23 6 0 3 3 5:14 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)