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Aston Villa vs Fulham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Villa Park, Birmingham
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Fulham have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Aston Villa have conceded 1.46 and scored 2.11. Past meetings favor Aston Villa slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Aston Villa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aston Villa
30%
Draws
27%
Fulham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fulham haven't matched Aston Villa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aston Villa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aston Villa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Fulham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa Fulham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.11 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Fulham
3:1
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Fulham
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa 85 / 100
Fulham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa Fulham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Aston Villa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fulham conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa VS Fulham
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Brentford
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Fulham

(Away)
17 Oct
Fulham
1 : 0
Hull City
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 7 7 0 0 19:7 21
2 Arsenal 7 6 0 1 11:5 18
3 Brighton 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
4 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 17:13 13
5 Liverpool 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
6 Brentford 7 2 4 1 13:8 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
8 Everton 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 Hull City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
10 Ipswich 7 3 0 4 11:15 9
11 Newcastle Utd 7 2 2 3 10:14 8
12 Aston Villa 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 Manchester United 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
15 Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
16 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
17 Fulham 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
18 Nottingham 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
19 Sunderland 7 1 1 5 6:14 4
20 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)