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Aston Villa vs Liberta

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Aston Villa Logo

Aston Villa

0 - 2
FT
Liberta Logo

Liberta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Aston Villa and Liberta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Aston Villa
30%
Draws
8%
Liberta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aston Villa come out ahead of Liberta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aston Villa a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa Liberta
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 27 7
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 3.13 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Aston Villa
1:0
Jan 5, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
0:2
Jan 25, 2008 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
2:1
Oct 19, 2007 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa 85 / 100
Liberta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa Liberta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Liberta has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Aston Villa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 8

Liberta

(Away)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)