Sport Picks
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's League Cup Keys Park, Hednesford 
Match Events
10'
10'
Murphy L.
Assist: Mullet G.
26'
26'
Sevenius O.
Assist: Lambert M.
45'
45'
Maltby R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Newcastle Utd W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Newcastle Utd W a 48% chance of winning this.
- Newcastle Utd W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aston Villa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aston Villa W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 12%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Newcastle Utd W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 Women's League Cup
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle Utd W
3:1
Jan 23, 2011 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Aston Villa W
1:3
Nov 7, 2010 Women's National League North
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle Utd W
5:1
May 2, 2010 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Aston Villa W
0:3
Nov 1, 2009 Women's National League North
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle Utd W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aston Villa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kendall L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Murphy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Newcastle Utd W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sevenius O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aston Villa W 10 / 100
Newcastle Utd W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aston Villa W Newcastle Utd W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Aston Villa W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Newcastle Utd W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Aston Villa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aston Villa W VS Newcastle Utd W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa W
(Home) 04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
30 Aug
Aston Villa W
0 : 0 West Ham W
09 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 3 Arsenal W
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd W
(Away) 04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0 Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1 Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
23 Aug
Valencia W
2 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
19 Aug
Manchester United W
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Aston Villa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Liverpool W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 5 | London City Lionesses W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 6 | West Ham W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Tottenham W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Brighton W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Everton W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bristol City W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Burnley W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Watford W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ipswich W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sunderland W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Utd W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Nottingham W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leicester W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Birmingham W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 21 | Durham W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 22 | Charlton W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)
