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Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astoria Walldorf host Mainz II in the Regionalliga Sudwest. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Astoria Walldorf at 1.71 goals for, 1.79 against; Mainz II at 1.22 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Astoria Walldorf have won 2 to Mainz II's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.38) back Mainz II to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Astoria Walldorf
15%
Draws
28%
Mainz II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astoria Walldorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Astoria Walldorf taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Astoria Walldorf Clean Sheet 17%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astoria Walldorf Mainz II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz II
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz II
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astoria Walldorf 84 / 100
Mainz II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astoria Walldorf Mainz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astoria Walldorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Astoria Walldorf scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Mainz II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mainz II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astoria Walldorf VS Mainz II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astoria Walldorf

(Home)
03 Oct
Eintracht Trier
1 : 4
Astoria Walldorf
25 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 2
Sandhausen
19 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
2 : 3
VfR Mannheim
12 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
2 : 1
Astoria Walldorf
08 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
2 : 1
Stutt. Kickers
Page 1 of 6

Mainz II

(Away)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
3 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
7 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)