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Astorps vs Varbergs GIF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Akpoveta O.

AI Match Summary

Astorps in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astorps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Astorps
15%
Draws
46%
Varbergs GIF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Astorps lately — more wins on the board than Varbergs GIF.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Astorps Clean Sheet 16%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astorps Varbergs GIF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Varbergs GIF
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Astorps
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpoveta O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Varbergs GIF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astorps 30 / 100
Varbergs GIF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astorps Varbergs GIF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astorps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varbergs GIF conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Astorps scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Astorps went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astorps VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Astorps

(Home)
03 Oct
Astorps
1 : 3
Dalstorps
27 Sept
Frolunda
2 : 0
Astorps
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Sept
Astorps
1 : 2
Qviding
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
Page 1 of 7

Varbergs GIF

(Away)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)