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Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astrakhan play Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Astrakhan averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Astrakhan won 1, Nart Cherkessk won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Astrakhan and 1.19 for Nart Cherkessk. This points to a Nart Cherkessk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Astrakhan
29%
Draws
39%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Astrakhan picked up more points recently compared to Nart Cherkessk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 20%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dashaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 33 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan Nart Cherkessk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nart Cherkessk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Astrakhan attacking → ← attacking Nart Cherkessk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Nart Cherkessk let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Astrakhan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nart Cherkessk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 60
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88