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Stadium Background

Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Shilov D.
86' Event
Dashaev A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Astrakhan
20%
Draws
30%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nart Cherkessk have won more games recently than Astrakhan.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Astrakhan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 16%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dashaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 36 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan Nart Cherkessk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Astrakhan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nart Cherkessk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS Nart Cherkessk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Astrakhan

(Home)
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
22 Aug
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Rostov 2
15 Aug
FC Sevastopol
3 : 4
Astrakhan
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Nart Cherkessk

(Away)
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
15 Aug
Shahter Taganrog
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
11 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
1 : 2
Dynamo Stavropol
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