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Astrakhan vs Sochi 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov, Astrakhan
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bertin G.
34' Event
Bertin G.
36'
Zlobin N.

AI Match Summary

Astrakhan in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astrakhan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Astrakhan
30%
Draws
31%
Sochi 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sochi 2 average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Astrakhan's 1.15.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Astrakhan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 68%
Sochi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan Sochi 2
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Sochi 2
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sochi 2 vs Astrakhan
2:0
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Sochi 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertin G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karpov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sochi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 50 / 100
Sochi 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan Sochi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astrakhan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Sochi 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Astrakhan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Astrakhan

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
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Sochi 2

(Away)
01 Nov
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 0
Sochi 2
26 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 2
Rubin Yalta
04 Oct
Astrakhan
3 : 1
Sochi 2
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