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Astur vs Atletico de Lugones

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Astur and Atletico de Lugones finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Lugones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Astur
20%
Draws
48%
Atletico de Lugones
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico de Lugones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico de Lugones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Astur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Astur Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Atletico de Lugones
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.83 0.56
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Astur
1:1
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Atletico de Lugones
2:2
May 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Atletico de Lugones
0:2
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Astur
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 85 / 100
Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Atletico de Lugones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Lugones let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Astur scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico de Lugones registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Atletico de Lugones
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
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Atletico de Lugones

(Away)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)