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Astur vs Condal

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Astur and Condal finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Astur
15%
Draws
59%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Astur haven't matched Condal's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Condal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Condal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Astur Clean Sheet 20%
Condal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Condal
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Condal
1:2
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
2:0
Apr 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Condal
0:2
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 20 / 100
Condal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Astur scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Condal let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Astur went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Condal
0.33 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
15 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Astur
Page 1 of 7

Condal

(Away)
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
11 May
Condal
0 : 2
Gijon B
04 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 0
Condal
27 Apr
Condal
1 : 1
CD Colunga
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)