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Astur vs Llanes

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Astur Logo

Astur

1 - 1
FT
Llanes Logo

Llanes

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Astur and Llanes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Astur
15%
Draws
21%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llanes come out ahead of Astur on wins alone.
  • Model gives Astur a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Astur Clean Sheet 16%
Llanes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Llanes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 3 12
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Llanes
2:2
Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
2:0
Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Llanes
1:1
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
2:1
Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 39 / 100
Llanes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanes conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Llanes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Astur scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Llanes
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
Page 1 of 6

Llanes

(Away)
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)