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ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between ASV Neumarkt and Ingolstadt II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ingolstadt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ASV Neumarkt
30%
Draws
39%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • ASV Neumarkt haven't matched Ingolstadt II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans ASV Neumarkt's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 12%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Neumarkt Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs ASV Neumarkt
6:2
Aug 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs ASV Neumarkt
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Neumarkt 38 / 100
Ingolstadt II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Neumarkt Ingolstadt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASV Neumarkt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: ASV Neumarkt scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: ASV Neumarkt stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASV Neumarkt VS Ingolstadt II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Neumarkt

(Home)
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
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Ingolstadt II

(Away)
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
25 Sept
Ingolstadt II
0 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
19 Sept
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
0 : 0
Ingolstadt II
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Bamberg
4 : 1
Ingolstadt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)