Sport Picks

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ASWH vs Blauw Geel

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Schildman, Hendrik-Ido-Ambacht
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ASWH and Blauw Geel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blauw Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
ASWH
20%
Draws
70%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blauw Geel come out ahead of ASWH on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Blauw Geel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Blauw Geel here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASWH Blauw Geel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Blauw Geel
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs ASWH
5:0
May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Blauw Geel
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs ASWH
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASWH 10 / 100
Blauw Geel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASWH Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASWH found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Blauw Geel conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

ASWH has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASWH VS Blauw Geel
1.33 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 50%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASWH

(Home)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 6

Blauw Geel

(Away)
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)