Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Urban N.
20'
20'
van der Ent Q.
28'
28'
van de Kreeke S.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between ASWH and Smitshoek finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smitshoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smitshoek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Smitshoek have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — ASWH are scoring more at 1.63.
- ASWH are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
ASWH Clean Sheet 11%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ASWH | Smitshoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.84 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Smitshoek
3:5
Nov 9, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs ASWH
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ASWH Compare
Top Goalscorer Admiraal L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer van de Kreeke S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Urban N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ASWH 83 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ASWH Smitshoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASWH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ASWH found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Smitshoek conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Smitshoek has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
ASWH VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
ASWH
(Home) 23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3 Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
Page 1 of 7
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3 Roosendaal
11 Apr
ASWH
2 : 2 Rijnvogels
21 Mar
ASWH
0 : 1 VVSB
07 Mar
ASWH
2 : 5 RKSV UDI 19
Page 1 of 3
Smitshoek
(Away) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
12 Apr
ASWH
3 : 5 Smitshoek
22 Mar
GOES
1 : 3 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
