Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASWH vs VV Zwaluwen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Schildman, Hendrik-Ido-Ambacht
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Zwaluwen in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Zwaluwen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
ASWH
15%
Draws
76%
VV Zwaluwen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • VV Zwaluwen have won more games recently than ASWH.
  • Model gives VV Zwaluwen a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASWH VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VV Zwaluwen
1:6
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs ASWH
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASWH 10 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASWH VV Zwaluwen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASWH scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

VV Zwaluwen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

ASWH has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASWH VS VV Zwaluwen
1.2 Goals Scored 1.88
3.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASWH

(Home)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
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VV Zwaluwen

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Achilles Veen
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)