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Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makkasa

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asyut Petroleum play Misr Lel Makkasa in the Division 2 A 2023/2024. Asyut Petroleum are favorites here. Recently, Asyut Petroleum averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Misr Lel Makkasa averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Asyut Petroleum won 2, Misr Lel Makkasa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 5, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Asyut Petroleum and 0.88 for Misr Lel Makkasa. This points to a Asyut Petroleum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Asyut Petroleum
22%
Draws
13%
Misr Lel Makkasa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Asyut Petroleum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Asyut Petroleum picked up more points recently compared to Misr Lel Makkasa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 25%
Misr Lel Makkasa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asyut Petroleum Misr Lel Makkasa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2024 Division 2 A
Misr Lel Makkasa vs Asyut Petroleum
1:2
Jan 3, 2024 Division 2 A
Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makkasa
3:2
Feb 23, 2023 Division 2 - Group A
Misr Lel Makkasa vs Asyut Petroleum
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Division 2 - Group A
Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makkasa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asyut Petroleum Compare

Top Goalscorer Okal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abu Bakr F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Misr Lel Makkasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Raafat A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asyut Petroleum 64 / 100
Misr Lel Makkasa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asyut Petroleum Misr Lel Makkasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asyut Petroleum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Asyut Petroleum & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Asyut Petroleum attacking → ← attacking Misr Lel Makkasa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asyut Petroleum scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Misr Lel Makkasa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Asyut Petroleum went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Misr Lel Makkasa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 12
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrojet19143234:1345
2Wadi Degla19108127:1338
3Haras El Hodood1999128:1836
4Ghazl El Mahallah1998221:1235
5La Viena1996430:1733
6Tanta1985623:1729
7Al-Sekka19611220:1229
8Proxy1978423:2329
9Al Qanah1977521:1628
10Raya19610321:1628
11Asyut Petroleum1984720:2028
12Abu Qir Semad1967619:1625
13WE Sports Club1973923:2324
14Aswan1957719:2022
15Dekernes1956819:2821
16Makadi1929817:2315
17Gomhoriat Shebin19351110:2514
18Nogoom FC19341214:2813
19Misr Lel Makkasa19231418:449
20Nasr Taadeen19131514:376