Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ataka Vilnius vs FK Dembava Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2022
Ataka Vilnius Logo

Ataka Vilnius

3 - 2
FT
FK Dembava Logo

FK Dembava

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Blazys L.
41' Event
Blazys L.
72' Event
Laurencikas A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ataka Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ataka Vilnius
15%
Draws
0%
FK Dembava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ataka Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ataka Vilnius have won more games recently than FK Dembava.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ataka Vilnius taking it.
  • Ataka Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ataka Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ataka Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
FK Dembava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ataka Vilnius FK Dembava
Matches Played 5 3
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.6 4.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Lithuanian Cup
Ataka Vilnius vs FK Dembava
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ataka Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazys L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Meskinis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.26

FK Dembava Compare

Top Goalscorer Laurencikas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steinas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ataka Vilnius 34 / 100
FK Dembava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ataka Vilnius FK Dembava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ataka Vilnius found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

FK Dembava let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Dembava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ataka Vilnius VS FK Dembava
1.8 Goals Scored 1.25
3.6 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ataka Vilnius

(Home)
20 May
Ataka Vilnius
1 : 2
FA Siauliai
21 Apr
Ataka Vilnius
4 : 0
FK Sirvena Birzai
07 May
Ataka Vilnius
0 : 9
Riteriai
24 May
Ataka Vilnius
1 : 5
Riteriai
07 May
Ataka Vilnius
3 : 2
FK Dembava

FK Dembava

(Away)
05 May
FK Dembava
3 : 4
FK Babrungas
08 May
FK Dembava
0 : 6
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 May
Ataka Vilnius
3 : 2
FK Dembava

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Garliava 0
Neptunas 2
Zalgiris 3
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Ataka Vilnius 3
FK Dembava 2
Riteriai 2
FA Siauliai 1
Ekranas 0
Suduva 3
FK Medziai 1
Banga 2
Granitas Vilnius 8
Kursenai 0
Klaipedos FM 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Ukmerge 0
Transinvest 2
FK Atmosfera 0
Jonava 3
FK Babrungas 1
BFA Vilnius 2
BE1 NFA 0
FC Hegelmann 3
Tauras Taurage 2
Viltis Vilnius 1
Saned Joniskis 3
Marijampole City 7
FK Sturmas 1
Dainava Alytus 8
Utenis 0
FK Panevezys 5
1/8-finals
Neptunas 0
Zalgiris 1
Ataka Vilnius 1
Riteriai 5
Suduva 2
Banga 0
Granitas Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Transinvest 1
Jonava 2
BFA Vilnius 0
FC Hegelmann 6
Tauras Taurage 1
Marijampole City 4
Dainava Alytus 0
FK Panevezys 2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris 2
Riteriai 1
Suduva 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Jonava 0
FC Hegelmann 2
Marijampole City 0
FK Panevezys 2
Semi-finals
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
FC Hegelmann 1
FK Panevezys 0
Final
Zalgiris 2
FC Hegelmann 1