Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta vs Bologna

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Mon, Aug 31, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Bologna in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bologna have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Atalanta have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 2 to Bologna's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Atalanta to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atalanta
33%
Draws
27%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atalanta come out ahead of Bologna on wins alone.
  • Atalanta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 18%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Bologna
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Bologna
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Atalanta
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Bologna
2:0
Feb 4, 2025 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Bologna
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Atalanta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 40 / 100
Bologna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Bologna has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Atalanta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Bologna
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
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Bologna

(Away)
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4
Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)