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Atalanta U19 vs Arsenal U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Carillo Pesenti Pigna, Alzano Lombardo
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Comi P.
Assist: Bonanomi A.
19'
Steffanoni F.
21'
Heaven A.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 game between Atalanta U19 and Arsenal U19 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Atalanta U19
15%
Draws
51%
Arsenal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atalanta U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Atalanta U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U19 Arsenal U19
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 16 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Atalanta U19 vs Arsenal U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Comi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fiogbe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U19 34 / 100
Arsenal U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U19 Arsenal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal U19 conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atalanta U19's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Arsenal U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U19 VS Arsenal U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U19

(Home)
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
26 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 : 2
Atalanta U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0
Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 0
Slavia Prague U19
30 Sept
Atalanta U19
0 : 2
Club Brugge U19
Page 1 of 7

Arsenal U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)