Sport Picks
Atalanta U19 vs Chelsea U19 Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Carillo Pesenti Pigna, Alzano Lombardo 
Match Events
15'
15'
Aliprandi M.
16'
16'
Waite D.
28'
28'
Derry J.
Assist: Walsh R.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between Atalanta U19 and Chelsea U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelsea U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelsea U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atalanta U19 come out ahead of Chelsea U19 on wins alone.
- Chelsea U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atalanta U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta U19 | Chelsea U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 2.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 9, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Atalanta U19 vs Chelsea U19
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gasparello F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Chelsea U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Derry J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Walsh R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta U19 10 / 100
Chelsea U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta U19 Chelsea U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Atalanta U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: Atalanta U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta U19 VS Chelsea U19
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta U19
(Home) 09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3 Chelsea U19
26 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 : 2 Atalanta U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0 Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 0 Slavia Prague U19
30 Sept
Atalanta U19
0 : 2 Club Brugge U19
Page 1 of 7
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3 Chelsea U19
22 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 0 Slavia Prague U19
30 Sept
Atalanta U19
0 : 2 Club Brugge U19
10 Dec
Atalanta U19
0 : 4 Real Madrid U19
23 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 1 Celtic U19
Page 1 of 3
Chelsea U19
(Away) 25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0 Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1 PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3 Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1 Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5 Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 7
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0 Chelsea U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3 Chelsea U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5 Chelsea U19
17 Sept
Bayern U19
2 : 3 Chelsea U19
25 Oct
Salzburg U19
5 : 1 Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Benfica U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Club Brugge U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Madrid U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Villarreal U19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 6 | Ath Bilbao U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Atl. Madrid U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Barcelona U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Tottenham U19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Manchester City U19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Dortmund U19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Sporting CP U19 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 13 | PSG U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 11 |
| 14 | Inter U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 15 | Ajax U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Liverpool U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 17 | Leverkusen U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:16 | 10 |
| 18 | Monaco U19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 9 |
| 19 | PSV U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 8 |
| 20 | Slavia Prague U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 8 |
| 21 | Eintracht Frankfurt U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Marseille U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 23 | FC Copenhagen U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Olympiacos Piraeus U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 25 | Napoli U19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 26 | Juventus U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 5 |
| 27 | Bayern U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | 4 |
| 28 | Kairat Almaty U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 29 | Atalanta U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 30 | Pafos U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 31 | Royale Union SG U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 4 |
| 32 | Galatasaray U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:21 | 4 |
| 33 | Arsenal U19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11:18 | 3 |
| 34 | Newcastle Utd U19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:17 | 0 |
| 35 | Bodo/Glimt U19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:31 | 0 |
| 36 | Qarabag Agdam U19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:30 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
