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Atalanta U20 vs Varese U20

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Primavera - Group B 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group B 2011/2012 game between Atalanta U20 and Varese U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varese U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Atalanta U20
15%
Draws
51%
Varese U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varese U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atalanta U20 come out ahead of Varese U20 on wins alone.
  • Varese U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atalanta U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Varese U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U20 Varese U20
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 18 16
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2013 Primavera - Group B
Varese U20 vs Atalanta U20
0:2
Nov 10, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Atalanta U20 vs Varese U20
3:0
Jan 14, 2012 Primavera - Group B
Varese U20 vs Atalanta U20
1:0
Sep 10, 2011 Primavera - Group B
Atalanta U20 vs Varese U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U20 28 / 100
Varese U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U20 Varese U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).

Varese U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Atalanta U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U20 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U20

(Home)
13 Sept
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
Torino U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Atalanta U20
30 Aug
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
AS Roma U20
23 Aug
Bologna U20
4 : 2
Atalanta U20
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Varese U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Cesena U20
1 : 0
Varese U20
13 Apr
Varese U20
3 : 1
Cittadella U20
06 Apr
Udinese U20
0 : 2
Varese U20
03 Apr
Varese U20
0 : 2
Atalanta U20
23 Mar
Varese U20
2 : 1
Padova U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U20 26 16 5 5 67:33 53
2 Inter U20 26 16 5 5 51:21 53
3 Varese U20 26 15 5 6 39:24 50
4 Chievo U20 26 12 11 3 43:22 47
5 Albinoleffe U20 26 13 8 5 46:31 47
6 Bologna U20 26 11 6 9 38:36 39
7 Padova U20 26 9 6 11 29:33 33
8 Udinese U20 26 9 3 14 39:54 30
9 Cittadella U20 26 8 6 12 40:57 30
10 Atalanta U20 26 8 5 13 38:40 29
11 Brescia U20 26 6 8 12 30:39 26
12 Cesena U20 26 6 6 14 24:39 24
13 Vicenza U20 26 6 5 15 39:61 23
14 Verona U20 26 6 3 17 24:57 21
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)