Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale

Atalanta U23

4 - 1

FeralpiSalo

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Ghislandi D.

18'

Crespi V.

35'

Rizzo A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 in this Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Atalanta U23

40%

Draws

29%

FeralpiSalo

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to FeralpiSalo lately — more wins on the board than Atalanta U23.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 20%

FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atalanta U23	FeralpiSalo
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	18
Draws	10	5
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A

Atalanta U23 vs FeralpiSalo

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group A

FeralpiSalo vs Atalanta U23

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghislandi D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bernasconi L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespi V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 32 / 100

FeralpiSalo 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atalanta U23 FeralpiSalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Atalanta U23 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

FeralpiSalo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Atalanta U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Padova	38	26	8	4	65:24	86
2	Vicenza	38	25	8	5	59:24	83
3	FeralpiSalo	38	21	9	8	53:30	72
4	AlbinoLeffe	38	16	12	10	46:38	60
5	Renate	38	18	6	14	35:36	60
6	Giana Erminio	38	16	9	13	44:39	57
7	Trento	38	14	15	9	47:42	57
8	Atalanta U23	38	16	9	13	65:53	57
9	Virtus Verona	38	15	11	12	52:43	56
10	Arzignano	38	15	8	15	45:46	53
11	Novara	38	14	12	12	42:39	52
12	Alcione Milano	38	13	8	17	33:37	47
13	Lecco	38	10	13	15	36:47	43
14	Pergolettese	38	11	9	18	36:49	42
15	Lumezzane	38	9	15	14	40:55	42
16	Triestina	38	12	8	18	40:45	39
17	Pro Vercelli	38	9	10	19	30:51	37
18	Pro Patria	38	6	16	16	32:44	34
19	Caldiero Terme	38	8	9	21	39:64	33
20	Clodiense	38	4	9	25	34:67	21