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Atalanta U23 vs Padova

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Atalanta U23 and Padova finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atalanta U23
33%
Draws
27%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Padova have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Atalanta U23 are scoring more at 1.14.
  • Atalanta U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Padova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Padova
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.14 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Atalanta U23 vs Padova
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Padova
1:1
Dec 4, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Atalanta U23
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Atalanta U23
2:0
Dec 9, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Padova
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 40 / 100
Padova 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Padova has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atalanta U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Padova
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 38%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1
Atalanta U23
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0
Monopoli
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Cavese
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Padova

(Away)
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
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