Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Djimsiti B.
Assist: Zalewski N.
21'
21'
Sub
Sulemana K. In: Maldini D.
Out: Sulemana K.
36'
36'
Fini S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Atalanta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atalanta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Atalanta are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Atalanta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atalanta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atalanta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Genoa
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Atalanta
0:1
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Genoa
4:0
May 17, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Atalanta
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Genoa
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Djimsiti B.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Roon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Genoa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta 76 / 100
Genoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta Genoa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atalanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atalanta scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Genoa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Atalanta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta VS Genoa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta
(Home) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 3
Genoa
(Away) 15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0 Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1 Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4 Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1 Genoa
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1 Genoa
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0 Genoa
10 May
Fiorentina
0 : 0 Genoa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
