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Atalanta vs Monza

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Birindelli S.
46'
Sub
Ganvoula S. In: Petagna A.
Out: Ganvoula S.
46'
Sub
Colombo L. In: Obiang P.
Out: Colombo L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Atalanta and Monza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atalanta
44%
Draws
20%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of Atalanta on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atalanta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 14%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Monza
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Atalanta vs Monza
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie A
Monza vs Atalanta
0:4
Oct 30, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Monza
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Atalanta
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 Serie A
Atalanta vs Monza
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Scalvini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Ketelaere C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Birindelli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 35 / 100
Monza 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Monza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atalanta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Monza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
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Monza

(Away)
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
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