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Atarfe Industrial vs Guadix Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Atarfe Industrial and Guadix finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atarfe Industrial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atarfe Industrial
15%
Draws
21%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atarfe Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guadix haven't matched Atarfe Industrial's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atarfe Industrial's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 16%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atarfe Industrial Guadix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Guadix
5:1
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Atarfe Industrial
2:3
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Guadix
0:0
Sep 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Atarfe Industrial
0:2
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Atarfe Industrial
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atarfe Industrial 84 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atarfe Industrial Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atarfe Industrial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Atarfe Industrial scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Guadix's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atarfe Industrial VS Guadix
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atarfe Industrial

(Home)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)