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Atarfe Industrial vs Loja

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Atarfe Industrial and Loja finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atarfe Industrial
15%
Draws
49%
Loja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Loja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Loja are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 14%
Loja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atarfe Industrial Loja
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Loja
1:3
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Atarfe Industrial
2:3
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Loja
2:4
Aug 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Atarfe Industrial
2:2
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Loja
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atarfe Industrial 23 / 100
Loja 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atarfe Industrial Loja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Atarfe Industrial's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Loja let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Difficult form: Loja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atarfe Industrial VS Loja
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atarfe Industrial

(Home)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
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Loja

(Away)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)