Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atenas vs Colon

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Suarez N.
32' Event
Espinosa L.
40' Event
Da Rocha A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Atenas and Colon finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atenas
30%
Draws
41%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Colon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Colon
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Colon
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Atenas
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Atenas
1:1
May 19, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Colon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Rocha A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 41 / 100
Colon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Colon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atenas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Colon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
02 Sept
Atenas
2 : 2
Penarol
29 Aug
Paysandu FC
2 : 0
Atenas
26 Aug
Danubio
3 : 2
Atenas
Page 1 of 7

Colon

(Away)
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
01 Sept
Colon
3 : 3
Fenix
29 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 18 10 3 5 28:18 33
2 Plaza Colonia 18 9 3 6 24:17 30
3 Colon 18 8 4 6 19:19 28
4 Rentistas 18 7 6 5 21:19 27
5 River Plate Montevideo 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 18 6 7 5 24:20 25
7 Fenix 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
8 Cerrito 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
9 Paysandu FC 18 7 2 9 23:24 23
10 Huracan FC 18 6 4 8 18:24 22
11 Tacuarembo 18 6 4 8 13:19 22
12 La Luz 18 5 6 7 14:20 21
13 Miramar 18 4 7 7 20:24 19
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 18 4 5 9 18:25 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)