Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atenas vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
de Marco S.
43' Event
de Marco S.
51' Event
Pereira G.

AI Match Summary

Fenix in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atenas
20%
Draws
38%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix haven't matched Atenas's recent run of results.
  • Atenas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Fenix
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:4
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:0
Oct 21, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Atenas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez Mederos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer de Marco S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 50 / 100
Fenix 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fenix has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atenas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Fenix
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
15 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 2
Atenas
09 Aug
Club Oriental De Futbol
0 : 1
Atenas
03 Aug
Atenas
4 : 1
Colon
26 Jul
Fenix
1 : 0
Atenas
12 Jul
Atenas
1 : 3
Rentistas
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
08 Aug
Fenix
0 : 0
La Luz
02 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1
Fenix
26 Jul
Fenix
1 : 0
Atenas
13 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Fenix
05 Jul
Fenix
2 : 0
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fenix 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
2 Huracan FC 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
3 Uruguay Montevideo FC 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
4 Cerrito 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
5 La Luz 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
6 Atenas 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
7 Tacuarembo 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Oriental De Futbol 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Plaza Colonia 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
3 Colon 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
4 Rentistas 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
5 Miramar 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
6 Paysandu FC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
7 River Plate Montevideo 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs)