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Atenas vs Fenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atenas host Fenix in the Segunda Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Atenas at 1.35 goals for, 1.23 against; Fenix at 1.31 for, 1.22 against. Head-to-head, Atenas have won 2 to Fenix's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Atenas. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atenas
35%
Draws
26%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix haven't matched Atenas's recent run of results.
  • Atenas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atenas Clean Sheet 18%
Fenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Fenix
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:4
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Atenas
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Fenix
1:0
Oct 21, 2018 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Atenas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 36 / 100
Fenix 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Fenix has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Atenas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Fenix
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
18 Oct
Rentistas
3 : 0
Atenas
11 Oct
Atenas
1 : 1
Miramar
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
Page 1 of 7

Fenix

(Away)
17 Oct
Fenix
0 : 1
Paysandu FC
11 Oct
Huracan FC
0 : 0
Fenix
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 23 12 5 6 31:22 41
2 Plaza Colonia 23 10 6 7 29:23 36
3 Rentistas 23 10 6 7 30:25 36
4 Colon 23 10 6 7 26:24 36
5 River Plate Montevideo 23 9 6 8 35:29 33
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 23 8 9 6 31:26 33
7 Cerrito 23 8 8 7 29:26 32
8 Paysandu FC 23 9 4 10 29:29 31
9 La Luz 23 8 7 8 21:25 31
10 Fenix 23 7 9 7 27:25 30
11 Miramar 23 7 8 8 25:27 29
12 Huracan FC 23 7 6 10 22:31 27
13 Tacuarembo 23 6 6 11 17:26 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 23 4 6 13 21:35 18
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)