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Ath Bilbao vs Eibar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ares A.
15'
Sub
Garcia de Albeniz I. In: Sarasketa L.
Out: Garcia de Albeniz I.
19'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ath Bilbao
20%
Draws
52%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eibar lately — more wins on the board than Ath Bilbao.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Eibar taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 11%
Eibar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao Eibar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.61 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao vs Eibar
2:2
Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao vs Eibar
1:0
Jan 7, 2024 Copa del Rey
Eibar vs Ath Bilbao
0:3
Aug 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao vs Eibar
1:1
Mar 20, 2021 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Eibar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ath Bilbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Guruzeta G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berchiche Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ares A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marton Anso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 10 / 100
Eibar 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ath Bilbao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Eibar let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS Eibar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
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Eibar

(Away)
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
30 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 1
Eibar
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
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