Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Jauregizar M.
16'
16'
Guruzeta G.
48'
48'
Oroz A.
AI Match Summary
Ath Bilbao in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ath Bilbao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osasuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Osasuna lately — more wins on the board than Ath Bilbao.
- Win probability leans Osasuna's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 16%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
0:0
Jan 16, 2025 Copa del Rey
Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ath Bilbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Guruzeta G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Osasuna Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ath Bilbao 23 / 100
Osasuna 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ath Bilbao Osasuna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Osasuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Osasuna let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Ath Bilbao scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Osasuna lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ath Bilbao VS Osasuna
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao
(Home) 27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3 Sevilla
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2 Eibar
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
10 May
Ath Bilbao
0 : 1 Valencia
21 Apr
Ath Bilbao
1 : 0 Osasuna
Page 1 of 2
Osasuna
(Away) 27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0 Levante
15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Osasuna
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2 Al Ain
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1 Osasuna
Page 1 of 6
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Osasuna
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1 Osasuna
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2 Osasuna
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
