Sport Picks
Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao 
AI Match Summary
Ath Bilbao host Real Sociedad in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Real Sociedad have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Ath Bilbao have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Real Sociedad slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Real Sociedad. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad come out ahead of Ath Bilbao on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Real Sociedad's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Sociedad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ath Bilbao scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Ath Bilbao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao
(Home)Real Sociedad
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Dep. A Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
