Sport Picks

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Athene FC W vs Hertta W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women
Thu, May 28, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athene FC W play Hertta W in the Suomen Cup Women. Athene FC W are favorites here. Recently, Athene FC W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Hertta W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Athene FC W won 1, Hertta W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Athene FC W and 1.63 for Hertta W. This points to a Athene FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Athene FC W
15%
Draws
13%
Hertta W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athene FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Athene FC W picked up more points recently compared to Hertta W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Athene FC W Clean Sheet 14%
Hertta W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athene FC W Hertta W
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Athene FC W vs Hertta W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athene FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hertta W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruohoaho I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lintu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athene FC W 68 / 100
Hertta W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athene FC W Hertta W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athene FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Athene FC W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athene FC W attacking → ← attacking Hertta W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athene FC W scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Hertta W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Athene FC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hertta W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00